Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.002973 0.003112 0.003254 0.003409 0.003574 0.003746 0.003936
2025-03-09 0.002722 0.002929 0.003148 0.003397 0.003675 0.003974 0.004323
2025-03-16 0.002551 0.002797 0.003063 0.003375 0.003732 0.004129 0.004608
2025-03-23 0.002403 0.002672 0.002970 0.003326 0.003744 0.004220 0.004810
2025-03-30 0.002283 0.002570 0.002892 0.003285 0.003754 0.004302 0.004996
2025-04-06 0.002205 0.002509 0.002856 0.003286 0.003809 0.004432 0.005241
2025-04-13 0.002079 0.002385 0.002740 0.003184 0.003732 0.004396 0.005273
2025-04-20 0.002022 0.002340 0.002713 0.003187 0.003782 0.004514 0.005501
2025-04-27 0.001992 0.002326 0.002722 0.003233 0.003884 0.004699 0.005820
2025-05-04 0.001927 0.002266 0.002672 0.003202 0.003885 0.004754 0.005970
2025-05-11 0.001873 0.002218 0.002634 0.003183 0.003900 0.004824 0.006140
2025-05-18 0.001820 0.002168 0.002593 0.003157 0.003904 0.004880 0.006291
2025-05-25 0.001796 0.002154 0.002596 0.003191 0.003988 0.005046 0.006604
2025-06-01 0.001753 0.002116 0.002566 0.003180 0.004011 0.005130 0.006805
2025-06-08 0.001709 0.002074 0.002531 0.003159 0.004020 0.005193 0.006977
2025-06-15 0.001657 0.002021 0.002480 0.003115 0.003993 0.005205 0.007073
2025-06-22 0.001611 0.001974 0.002435 0.003077 0.003975 0.005225 0.007181
2025-06-29 0.001583 0.001949 0.002418 0.003078 0.004009 0.005323 0.007409
2025-07-06 0.001519 0.001876 0.002335 0.002984 0.003906 0.005217 0.007317
2025-07-13 0.001495 0.001856 0.002323 0.002988 0.003942 0.005314 0.007547
2025-07-20 0.001488 0.001856 0.002337 0.003029 0.004033 0.005497 0.007922
2025-07-27 0.001454 0.001822 0.002303 0.003001 0.004021 0.005524 0.008043
2025-08-03 0.001426 0.001793 0.002277 0.002983 0.004024 0.005573 0.008203